I am watching for the potential of strong thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening.  A strong fall cold front will move through Central Texas and have plenty of warm and very humid air to interact with during that time.  The Storm Prediction Center has us under a 5% risk for severe storms already, but that number could change as we get more data and move closer to Thursday.

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Based on the latest weather information that I am seeing, it looks like severe damaging winds will be the biggest weather threat.  This means we could get winds over 60 mph within some of these storms.  The biggest and highest threat for severe weather will be northeast of us, over Oklahoma and Arkansas.

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This graphic will likely be adjusted by Thursday morning.  That is when I will have a better idea on the timing of the cold front.  The cold front timing will be the major factor in determining our severe weather chances.  Right now it looks like the cold front will move through during the early evening hours.  That means we will have had plenty of time to warm into the mid 90s…factor in some very strong humidity…we are looking at a very unstable atmosphere.

Here is what FUTURETRAC is showing for Thursday and early Friday morning.

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FUTURETRAC has the timing of our storms from 6PM Thursday through the early morning hours of Friday.  Now the timing of this front could very easily change, but this is how it is looking right now.

Not only could we experience damaging winds, but we could also see frequent lightning, heavy rain, large hail and even an isolated tornado.

Here is the latest rainfall forecast.

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It is only Tuesday so I will need to keep checking all the latest weather data as we get closer.  I will also keep updating my weather blog.  Make sure you tell your family and friends that they can check my blog for all the latest local weather information.

Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

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Temperatures will stay above average this afternoon. No showers or storms to cool us down, but a cold front will bring some nice changes just in time for the weekend.

Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

It looks like our southern counties could see an isolated shower this afternoon. I’m not seeing the potential of anything heavy or severe but some isolated areas could see a couple hundredths of an inch. Here is what FUTURETRAC is showing today…mainly on our Southern Counties.

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Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

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Our great fall weather continues today. we can expect mostly sunny skies with highs near average.

We are looking at storm chances for the middle part of next week. here is what one long range forecast model is showing.

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Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

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Great weather in the forecast today!  Highs near average, but with low humidity we don’t have to worry about the heat index.

Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

Rain chances will be decreasing for this afternoon and evening. Afternoon temperatures will be near average. Here is a look at your Friday forecast

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Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

Showers and storms are in the forecast again today. Some areas could see some heavy rain. The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch until 7pm.

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Meteorologist Patrick Crawford

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